My mom instructed me that if I did no longer have something satisfactory to say, I have to no longer say something at all. Well, this is why you have not heard from me about GLD for quite some time. When I wrote approximately it last, many had been sure it became going to break out again, but I suspected we’d keep consolidating, and we’ve got.
So, there was nothing for me to virtually add to the conversation for months, so I was alternatively quiet regarding the metals.
There has been no greater irritating chart to the song than GLD during the last 3 years. It has had numerous setups wherein it may have broken out and has broken every of them over this era of time. But we are now coming to the apex of the duration of time wherein it may keep to consolidate before it breaks out.
However, as I write this update, the metals are in a precarious posture. While we efficiently called for the latest “bottoming” inside the complicated, the rally to date has been quite lackluster. In reality, if it does no longer follow thru to the upside in the coming week, it can without difficulty roll over and drop a great deal greater than many currently count on.
So, we are now at a point of inflection. And, I will describe what I am usually seeing thru the lens of GLD.
To put it pretty without a doubt, a 5-wave shape gives for us a primary fashion, while a 3-wave shape is suggestive of a corrective structure. And, so far, GLD only has three waves up off ultimate week’s low. If GLD can muster a 5th wave better in the coming week and pull back correctively thereafter, then we’ve our first indication of the subsequent bull market segment having started. And, my minimum next upside target for that shape is the 138 area, and rather quick.
However, have to GLD fail to muster that 5th wave higher and then destroy underneath this past week’s low, it points us right down to the 113-a hundred and fifteen area from wherein I might then expect it to begin its next major bull section, additionally pointing as a substitute quickly in the direction of the 138 location.
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